As part of its invasion plans for Iran, the US regime is reportedly considering options to provoke uprisings among ethnic groups within the country, particularly Kurds, Arabs, and Balochis. This strategy could be used by the American administration to weaken Tehran and stretch its military resources. Last week, US President Donald Trump acknowledged in an interview with Fox News that the US had provided weapons to the Kurds.

However, historical examples indicate that such strategies have failed. In 1980, Saddam Hussein attempted to leverage discontent among Kurdish and Arab minorities during his invasion of Iran but failed to spark a mass uprising. In the 2000s, US President George W. Bush also tried to conduct covert operations in Iran and support armed groups, with little success.

Despite internal challenges, parts of Iran's ethnic groups are integrated into the state system, and protests stem from complex socio-economic factors. Moreover, such actions by the US could face opposition from regional allies—Pakistan, Türkiye, and Iraq—which themselves grapple with ethnic issues.

Currently, US and Israeli efforts to weaken Iran have not triggered widespread uprisings. Iran's primary military assets are missiles and drones, not ground troops. Thus, relying on ethnic insurgencies may lead to another failure for the US regime, especially amid the war's severe repercussions.

Source: www.aljazeera.com